Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 84.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 58.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 67.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Jankowski
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
49.5% (291)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.8% (43)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
47.2% (53)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Foligno
Home
53.2% (331)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.2% (284)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Jankowski
Foligno
P1
52.7%
43.0%
P2
55.8%
55.9%
P3
52.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |