Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Danault 54.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 69.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Kastelic
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kastelic
Danault
Last 6: Kastelic 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Kastelic
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
56.2% (745)
+4.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
45.1% (51)
+38.2%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
51.6% (124)
+4.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Danault
Home
60.3% (242)
56.7% (402)
Away
59.2% (272)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Kastelic
Danault
P1
58.9%
55.5%
P2
57.3%
54.2%
P3
64.0%
55.2%
OT
53.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
66.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |