Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 60.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Schenn
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Scheifele
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Schenn
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
46.5% (919)
+5.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
48.7% (187)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
50.0% (54)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Schenn
Scheifele
Home
53.9% (412)
46.6% (605)
Away
53.3% (375)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Schenn
Scheifele
P1
49.6%
52.3%
P2
52.0%
45.3%
P3
58.1%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |