Connor McMichael vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 90.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 52.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 69.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
McMichael
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McMichael
Scheifele
Last 6: McMichael 5-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
McMichael
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
46.5% (919)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
48.7% (187)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
50.0% (54)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
McMichael
Scheifele
Home
43.0% (298)
46.6% (605)
Away
42.6% (270)
47.4% (555)
By Period
McMichael
Scheifele
P1
46.6%
52.3%
P2
40.8%
45.3%
P3
41.8%
43.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |