Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Ryan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Scheifele
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
48.5% (631)
+5.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
67.2% (61)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
33.3% (15)
+8.2%
On power play, Scheifele has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ryan is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ryan shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Ryan
Scheifele
Home
50.9% (167)
52.0% (358)
Away
53.5% (127)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Ryan
Scheifele
P1
44.0%
46.3%
P2
61.7%
50.9%
P3
50.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |