Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.0%). Look for Guentzel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 54.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 57.7%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Guentzel
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Guentzel
Scheifele
Last 6: Guentzel 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Guentzel
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
1
Guentzel
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
46.5% (919)
+2.6%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
48.7% (187)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
50.0% (54)
-3.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Scheifele
Home
50.2% (205)
46.6% (605)
Away
44.4% (169)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Guentzel
Scheifele
P1
47.6%
52.3%
P2
49.0%
45.3%
P3
46.2%
43.9%
OT
42.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |