Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs McTavish 49.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.9%
Defensive zone
McTavish 69.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 65.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Scheifele
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Scheifele
McTavish
Last 6: Scheifele 5-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Scheifele
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
47.6% (617)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
57.8% (102)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McTavish
Home
46.6% (605)
52.2% (389)
Away
47.4% (555)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Scheifele
McTavish
P1
52.3%
50.2%
P2
45.3%
47.9%
P3
43.9%
49.0%
OT
27.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |