Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Krebs 45.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 77.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 53.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Scheifele
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Krebs
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Scheifele
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
44.4% (403)
+2.1%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
33.3% (6)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Krebs
Home
46.6% (605)
46.3% (205)
Away
47.4% (555)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Scheifele
Krebs
P1
52.3%
47.0%
P2
45.3%
45.4%
P3
43.9%
40.7%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |