Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.1%). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Erat 46.8% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 60.5%
Defensive zone
Erat 57.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Guentzel
Erat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
46.7% (321)
-0.3%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
45.5% (101)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
41.4% (29)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Guentzel shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Erat
Home
48.9% (583)
53.2% (252)
Away
43.2% (474)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Guentzel
Erat
P1
48.0%
43.4%
P2
45.5%
45.8%
P3
46.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%