Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.4% vs Richards 49.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 93.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 81.8%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Hanzal
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hanzal
Richards
Last 6: Hanzal 5-1 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (754)
49.7% (352)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.4% (228)
42.9% (7)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (65)
49.1% (116)
+0.1%
On power play, Hanzal has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Hanzal shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Richards
Home
58.1% (539)
49.4% (247)
Away
53.7% (508)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Hanzal
Richards
P1
56.5%
53.8%
P2
57.9%
47.7%
P3
53.6%
47.3%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |