Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Elias 42.0% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 89.8%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 91.7%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 91.6%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Hanzal
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hanzal
Elias
Last 5: Hanzal 4-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (846)
40.2% (562)
+13.9%
Power Play
62.2% (180)
49.3% (71)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (73)
34.1% (44)
+5.6%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Hanzal shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Elias
Home
56.3% (528)
39.9% (318)
Away
52.9% (571)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Hanzal
Elias
P1
58.2%
42.0%
P2
49.5%
38.6%
P3
56.3%
41.1%
OT
52.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |