Anthony Cirelli vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs McTavish 49.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Cirelli
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cirelli
McTavish
Last 9: Cirelli 6-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Cirelli
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
47.6% (618)
+2.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
58.3% (103)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
33.3% (6)
+3.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McTavish
Home
53.0% (470)
52.2% (391)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Cirelli
McTavish
P1
50.6%
50.2%
P2
49.2%
47.7%
P3
47.2%
49.2%
OT
30.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |