Mathew Barzal vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.5% vs Dubois 48.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 74.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 74.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Barzal
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Barzal
Dubois
Last 9: Barzal 2-7 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
5
Barzal
Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (465)
44.8% (259)
-4.4%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
70.6% (34)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
75.0% (8)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Barzal shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dubois
Home
38.2% (246)
46.6% (163)
Away
41.3% (264)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Barzal
Dubois
P1
46.3%
44.0%
P2
35.7%
51.5%
P3
38.1%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
38.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |