Mathew Barzal vs Pierre-Luc Dubois

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 41.9% vs Dubois 48.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Barzal 69.8%
Defensive zone Barzal 72.2%
Neutral zone Barzal 71.8%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Barzal Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Barzal Dubois
Last 9: Barzal 2-7 Dubois

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
5
Barzal Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal Dubois
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
44.8% (259)
-3.9%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
70.6% (34)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
75.0% (8)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +46.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dubois
Home
39.2% (250)
46.6% (163)
Away
41.3% (264)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Barzal
Dubois
P1
46.3%
44.0%
P2
36.7%
51.5%
P3
38.5%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
51.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
40.3%
Dubois
40.0%
50.0%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 31, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 3 05:12 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 17:07 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 05:01 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 04:42 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 01:13 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 1 07:44 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Oct 11, 2025 1 07:40 Offensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 1 04:52 Defensive Mathew Barzal