Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Cullen 55.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 61.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 92.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 85.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Wagner
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wagner
Cullen
Last 5: Wagner 4-1 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
0
Wagner
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
59.1% (783)
-3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.7% (28)
-60.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
43.8% (233)
-8.1%
On power play, Cullen has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Wagner
Cullen
Home
56.7% (120)
59.0% (481)
Away
51.9% (154)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Wagner
Cullen
P1
53.6%
55.7%
P2
53.7%
53.1%
P3
54.9%
58.0%
Final 5 min
62.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |