Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Cullen 51.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 79.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 84.6%
Neutral zone
Cullen 51.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Ryan
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Cullen
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Ryan
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Ryan
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
54.0% (648)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
58.3% (24)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
40.6% (187)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cullen
Home
57.7% (355)
52.9% (416)
Away
52.8% (352)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Ryan
Cullen
P1
57.9%
53.5%
P2
53.2%
51.3%
P3
54.8%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |