Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lander wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 49.7% vs Duchene 54.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lander 55.3%
Neutral zone
Lander 61.7%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Lander
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lander
Duchene
Last 8: Lander 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Lander
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lander
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
56.8% (706)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.3% (130)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lander is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Lander shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Lander
Duchene
Home
56.1% (41)
56.6% (488)
Away
28.6% (14)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Lander
Duchene
P1
38.1%
52.0%
P2
47.1%
53.7%
P3
68.8%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
49.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |