Scouting Report
Chris VandeVelde holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
VandeVelde 51.7% vs Duchene 50.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.1%
Defensive zone
VandeVelde 59.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.4%
Result
Chris VandeVelde favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
VandeVelde
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
VandeVelde
Duchene
Last 5: VandeVelde 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
VandeVelde
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: VandeVelde
2
0
VandeVelde
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
VandeVelde
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
VandeVelde
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (119)
50.5% (1,070)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
49.3% (136)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (20)
+2.9%
On power play, VandeVelde has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. VandeVelde is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
VandeVelde shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
VandeVelde
Duchene
Home
56.8% (81)
49.8% (633)
Away
48.7% (78)
51.1% (613)
By Period
VandeVelde
Duchene
P1
48.1%
51.0%
P2
51.9%
51.5%
P3
60.0%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
VandeVelde
50.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |