Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.9% vs Duchene 54.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Eakin 75.3%
Neutral zone
Eakin 60.8%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Eakin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Eakin
Duchene
Last 9: Eakin 3-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Eakin
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Eakin
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (804)
55.4% (1,013)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
56.3% (192)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
41.2% (17)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Eakin has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eakin is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eakin shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Eakin
Duchene
Home
51.6% (473)
56.2% (642)
Away
50.3% (467)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Eakin
Duchene
P1
53.9%
56.2%
P2
48.3%
56.5%
P3
51.1%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |