Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cullen wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 56.0% vs Duchene 50.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Cullen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cullen
Duchene
Last 8: Cullen 3-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Cullen
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cullen
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (635)
49.4% (933)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
58.7% (104)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
47.6% (21)
+2.4%
On even strength, Cullen has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cullen is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Cullen shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Cullen
Duchene
Home
58.2% (380)
51.9% (534)
Away
55.4% (392)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Cullen
Duchene
P1
56.1%
51.0%
P2
57.9%
48.8%
P3
56.3%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |