Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Janmark 43.2% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 80.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 74.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Duchene
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Duchene
Janmark
Last 9: Duchene 5-4 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Janmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Janmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
4
Duchene
Janmark
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
38.1% (155)
+14.5%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
35.7% (14)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
63.6% (11)
-14.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Janmark is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Duchene
Janmark
Home
55.7% (652)
32.9% (82)
Away
50.4% (702)
44.9% (98)
By Period
Duchene
Janmark
P1
51.4%
48.3%
P2
53.9%
30.4%
P3
53.3%
40.0%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
53.0%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |