Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Hendricks 54.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 65.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 91.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.6%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Hendricks
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Hendricks
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
60.9% (184)
-12.0%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
100.0% (1)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
40.4% (47)
+7.5%
On power play, Hendricks has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
49.6% (550)
62.3% (114)
Away
48.7% (624)
51.7% (118)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
48.9%
51.3%
P2
47.5%
63.0%
P3
51.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |