Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Hendricks 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 87.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 68.0%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
12
(34 meetings)
22
12
Staal
Hendricks
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
2
Staal
Hendricks
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Hendricks
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Hendricks
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
55.0% (1,616)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
52.6% (38)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
48.4% (446)
-4.2%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
53.3%
P3
50.4%
53.6%
OT
55.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |