Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Stajan 51.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 17-3 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 94.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 69.7%
Neutral zone
Vermette 89.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Vermette
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
3
(20 meetings)
17
3
Vermette
Stajan
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
8
2
Vermette
Stajan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
1
Vermette
Stajan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
53.0% (509)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
41.4% (29)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
48.0% (98)
-4.8%
On power play, Vermette has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Vermette
Stajan
Home
58.7% (547)
53.8% (353)
Away
54.6% (593)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Vermette
Stajan
P1
58.6%
52.0%
P2
58.7%
52.0%
P3
52.7%
51.0%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |