Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.6%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Boyce
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Boyce
Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Boyce
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
2
0
Boyce
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Boyce
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
50.2% (4,944)
-2.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
43.2% (176)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
46.1% (864)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Boyce
Stajan
Home
52.2% (322)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
43.0% (298)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Boyce
Stajan
P1
49.8%
50.3%
P2
48.6%
48.5%
P3
44.6%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |