Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stajan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 46.7% vs Horcoff 49.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stajan 64.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Stajan
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Stajan
Horcoff
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
6
Stajan
Horcoff
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (615)
46.9% (318)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
64.9% (94)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (138)
39.8% (88)
+3.7%
On power play, Horcoff has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Stajan shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Stajan
Horcoff
Home
45.6% (379)
46.7% (289)
Away
46.8% (391)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Stajan
Horcoff
P1
44.2%
49.4%
P2
46.9%
47.0%
P3
47.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |