Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 40.1% vs Jarvis 42.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 62.8%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 53.6%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 50.1%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Janmark
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Janmark
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Janmark
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (907)
41.8% (354)
-2.1%
Power Play
32.5% (40)
43.7% (119)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (72)
38.2% (157)
-2.1%
On power play, Jarvis has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Janmark is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Janmark shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Janmark
Jarvis
Home
39.3% (463)
43.8% (336)
Away
39.0% (556)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Janmark
Jarvis
P1
41.2%
39.5%
P2
35.7%
39.5%
P3
41.3%
45.8%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |