Matty Beniers vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Buchnevich 43.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 55.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.3%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 54.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Beniers
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Beniers
Buchnevich
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
4
Beniers
Buchnevich
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
39.8% (181)
+8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
42.9% (14)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Buchnevich is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Beniers
Buchnevich
Home
52.4% (460)
40.7% (118)
Away
45.1% (470)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Beniers
Buchnevich
P1
47.5%
41.6%
P2
50.6%
34.3%
P3
47.6%
42.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |