Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.2% vs Varone 47.7% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Varone 59.4%
Defensive zone
Bourque 60.8%
Neutral zone
Bourque 50.2%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bourque
Varone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (513)
47.5% (575)
-0.9%
Power Play
26.1% (23)
38.5% (13)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Varone has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Bourque shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Bourque
Varone
Home
47.1% (263)
48.0% (221)
Away
44.2% (301)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Bourque
Varone
P1
42.7%
50.0%
P2
42.8%
42.7%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%