Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.4%). Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.8% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Finley 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 63.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 52.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Finley
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (275)
52.9% (2,085)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.1% (32)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
43.1% (415)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Finley
Lapierre
Home
53.8% (199)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
46.7% (122)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Finley
Lapierre
P1
54.7%
52.5%
P2
47.4%
50.7%
P3
52.1%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
51.1%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%