Scouting Report
Michael Amadio holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Amadio 48.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 64.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 78.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 55.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Barbashev
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barbashev
Amadio
Last 6: Barbashev 1-5 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
0
1
Barbashev
Amadio
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
4
Barbashev
Amadio
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
48.7% (458)
-4.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
44.4% (9)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
38.5% (13)
+9.1%
On power play, Barbashev has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Amadio is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Amadio
Home
39.6% (134)
46.6% (238)
Away
49.5% (194)
50.0% (242)
By Period
Barbashev
Amadio
P1
38.3%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
54.2%
P3
49.1%
43.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
45.4%
Amadio
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |