Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs McCarron 45.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 61.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 60.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Staal
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
McCarron
Last 5: Staal 1-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Staal
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Staal
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
43.6% (163)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
41.7% (12)
+10.0%
On power play, Staal has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Staal is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Staal shoots left. McCarron is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Staal
McCarron
Home
49.6% (550)
44.9% (78)
Away
48.7% (624)
42.3% (97)
By Period
Staal
McCarron
P1
48.9%
47.1%
P2
47.5%
40.7%
P3
51.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |