Michael McCarron vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Hischier 55.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 57.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 89.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 70.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
McCarron
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McCarron
Hischier
Last 7: McCarron 1-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
McCarron
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
McCarron
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
55.5% (1,172)
-2.7%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
64.5% (265)
-46.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
43.9% (164)
+8.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hischier
Home
52.8% (477)
56.8% (791)
Away
51.8% (442)
54.8% (810)
By Period
McCarron
Hischier
P1
56.2%
56.0%
P2
52.4%
58.6%
P3
48.7%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |