Michael McCarron vs Oskar Sundqvist
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 73.6%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 61.3%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 62.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
McCarron
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McCarron
Sundqvist
Last 9: McCarron 3-6 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
McCarron
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
3
McCarron
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
46.8% (301)
+6.0%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
80.0% (10)
-61.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
43.5% (85)
+9.1%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
McCarron
Sundqvist
Home
52.8% (477)
46.0% (189)
Away
51.8% (442)
47.8% (207)
By Period
McCarron
Sundqvist
P1
56.2%
44.7%
P2
52.4%
47.6%
P3
48.7%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |