Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Faksa 53.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 50.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 50.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 55.1%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
McCarron
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McCarron
Faksa
Last 6: McCarron 3-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
McCarron
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
56.4% (289)
-3.6%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
0.0% (2)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
49.2% (126)
+3.4%
On power play, McCarron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
McCarron
Faksa
Home
52.8% (477)
54.9% (182)
Away
51.8% (442)
53.2% (235)
By Period
McCarron
Faksa
P1
56.2%
61.1%
P2
52.4%
51.3%
P3
48.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |