Michael McCarron vs Rodrigo Abols
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.1%). Look for Abols on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Abols 51.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 75.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.9%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
McCarron
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McCarron
Abols
Last 6: McCarron 2-4 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
McCarron
Abols
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
1
2
McCarron
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
52.2% (293)
+0.6%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
50.0% (4)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
50.0% (6)
+2.6%
On power play, Abols has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Abols is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
McCarron
Abols
Home
52.8% (477)
54.7% (150)
Away
51.8% (442)
49.7% (153)
By Period
McCarron
Abols
P1
56.2%
54.4%
P2
52.4%
46.3%
P3
48.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |