Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lowry
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lowry
Zibanejad
Last 9: Lowry 3-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Lowry
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Lowry
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.3% (807)
+2.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
47.6% (42)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
46.3% (147)
-7.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zibanejad
Home
54.3% (429)
49.8% (466)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Lowry
Zibanejad
P1
53.1%
52.9%
P2
55.2%
51.2%
P3
54.4%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |