Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 77.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 72.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.7%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Last 5: Guentzel 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Guentzel
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
53.3% (807)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
47.6% (42)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
46.3% (147)
-0.1%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Home
50.2% (205)
49.8% (466)
Away
44.4% (169)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Guentzel
Zibanejad
P1
47.6%
52.9%
P2
49.0%
51.2%
P3
46.2%
51.7%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |