Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Guentzel wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Last 7: Guentzel 2-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Guentzel
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
1
Guentzel
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
52.9% (870)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
53.5% (43)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
46.2% (143)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Home
49.3% (201)
55.1% (501)
Away
42.6% (183)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Guentzel
Zibanejad
P1
49.6%
57.5%
P2
45.6%
50.7%
P3
41.6%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |