Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Szwarz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Szwarz 45.9% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Szwarz 72.1%
Defensive zone
Szwarz 53.0%
Neutral zone
Szwarz 67.1%
Result
Jordan Szwarz favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Szwarz
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Szwarz
Zibanejad
Last 5: Szwarz 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Szwarz
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Szwarz
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Szwarz
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Szwarz
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (65)
52.7% (938)
-15.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
49.3% (225)
+30.7%
On power play, Szwarz has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Szwarz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Szwarz shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Szwarz
Zibanejad
Home
46.9% (32)
54.9% (594)
Away
34.2% (38)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Szwarz
Zibanejad
P1
33.3%
50.1%
P2
45.0%
49.0%
P3
43.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Szwarz
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.0%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |