Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 64.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 75.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Rossi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rossi
Zibanejad
Last 5: Rossi 4-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Rossi
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
53.3% (807)
-1.7%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
47.6% (42)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
46.3% (147)
-9.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (260)
49.8% (466)
Away
49.2% (244)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Rossi
Zibanejad
P1
53.7%
52.9%
P2
47.6%
51.2%
P3
47.4%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |