Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Walker 51.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 51.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 50.0%
Neutral zone
Walker 52.1%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Zibanejad
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Walker
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
2
Zibanejad
Walker
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
54.0% (87)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
50.0% (8)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Walker has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Walker is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Walker
Home
49.8% (466)
51.9% (54)
Away
54.0% (530)
56.1% (41)
By Period
Zibanejad
Walker
P1
52.9%
63.6%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |