Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.9%). Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Thomas 51.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Zibanejad
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Zibanejad
Thomas
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
50.2% (635)
+3.1%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
61.0% (100)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
53.4% (118)
-7.1%
On power play, Thomas has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thomas
Home
49.8% (466)
52.0% (400)
Away
54.0% (530)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thomas
P1
52.9%
49.4%
P2
51.2%
55.2%
P3
51.7%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 01:40 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |