Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 71.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Henrique
Backlund
Last 9: Henrique 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
50.1% (930)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
51.5% (66)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
47.8% (293)
+2.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (926).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
52.4% (227)
48.1% (636)
Away
55.2% (324)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
57.0%
45.2%
P2
52.5%
54.2%
P3
52.4%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |