Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Backlund 50.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 68.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
McCann
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCann
Backlund
Last 7: McCann 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McCann
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
McCann
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
51.0% (1,205)
-2.2%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
59.3% (108)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
42.3% (234)
+7.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
McCann
Backlund
Home
51.0% (143)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.1% (164)
49.4% (765)
By Period
McCann
Backlund
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
52.0%
49.8%
P3
37.6%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.9%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |