Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Backlund 49.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 37-19 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
37
(56 meetings)
19
37
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
7
6
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
14
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
17
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
49.7% (13,463)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
51.5% (1,338)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
43.9% (2,465)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Home
49.7% (2,197)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
P1
49.9%
48.5%
P2
50.4%
50.3%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |