Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Acciari 50.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 67.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Backlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Backlund
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Backlund
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
52.7% (313)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
33.3% (18)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
49.7% (195)
-2.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Backlund
Acciari
Home
48.1% (636)
52.6% (291)
Away
51.4% (671)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Backlund
Acciari
P1
45.4%
53.7%
P2
54.1%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |