Scouting Report
Patrick Sharp holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 46.1% vs Sharp 48.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 90.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.3%
Neutral zone
Sharp 59.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Backlund
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Sharp
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
1
Backlund
Sharp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Sharp
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
1
Backlund
Sharp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
47.7% (239)
-1.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
52.2% (46)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
20.0% (5)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Backlund shoots left. Sharp is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Backlund
Sharp
Home
49.3% (217)
53.6% (151)
Away
42.3% (279)
41.4% (140)
By Period
Backlund
Sharp
P1
44.0%
46.9%
P2
49.4%
46.2%
P3
42.8%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.4%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |