Who wins more faceoffs, Mikael Backlund or Ryan Carpenter?

Ryan Carpenter leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Mikael Backlund's faceoff record against Ryan Carpenter?

Mikael Backlund is 4-5 against Ryan Carpenter in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 4-2, Defensive 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Mikael Backlund or Ryan Carpenter?

Mikael Backlund is the predicted winner with a 52.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Carpenter

Mikael BacklundL vs Ryan CarpenterR

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.3%). Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backlund wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 50.0% vs Carpenter 50.2% (-0.3%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Backlund 54.0%

Defensive zone Backlund 50.0%

Neutral zone Backlund 52.9%

Result Mikael Backlund favored at 52.7%

52.7%

47.3%

Backlund Carpenter

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 5 (9 meetings)

Backlund Carpenter

Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Carpenter

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Backlund

Backlund Carpenter

6 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Carpenter

Backlund Carpenter

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Backlund

Carpenter

Edge

Even Strength

51.1% (1,070)

48.4% (314)

+2.7%

Power Play

50.5% (91)

60.0% (5)

-9.5%

Penalty Kill

45.2% (248)

57.0% (79)

-11.8%

On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +11.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Carpenter shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).

Backlund shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).

Home / Away

Backlund

Carpenter

Home

49.3% (702)

55.8% (197)

Away

50.7% (708)

44.8% (201)

By Period

Backlund

Carpenter

46.3%

48.3%

53.8%

47.8%

49.9%

54.6%

45.0%

0.0%

Final 5 min

51.0%

59.8%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Backlund

44.0%▬

44.0%

50.0%

Carpenter

48.0%▬

47.0%

50.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 7, 2018	3	05:45	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Apr 7, 2018	2	05:32	Offensive	Ryan Carpenter
Mar 18, 2018	3	15:00	Defensive	Ryan Carpenter
Mar 18, 2018	3	14:53	Defensive	Ryan Carpenter
Mar 18, 2018	2	00:52	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Mar 18, 2018	1	10:59	Defensive	Ryan Carpenter
Mar 18, 2018	1	04:20	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Feb 21, 2018	3	12:59	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Feb 21, 2018	1	17:34	Offensive	Ryan Carpenter

Backlund's Profile | Carpenter's Profile