Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Pinto 51.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 55.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Backlund
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Backlund
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
50.5% (556)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
68.0% (25)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
51.1% (94)
-4.0%
On power play, Pinto has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Backlund
Pinto
Home
48.1% (636)
50.0% (310)
Away
51.4% (671)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Backlund
Pinto
P1
45.4%
51.8%
P2
54.1%
49.8%
P3
49.2%
53.1%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |