Mikael Backlund vs Stephane Da Costa
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Costa on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backlund wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Costa shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 46.1% vs Costa 41.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Costa 58.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Backlund
Costa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Costa
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Costa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Costa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Costa
1
2
Backlund
Costa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Costa
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
37.3% (142)
+8.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
32.3% (31)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
66.7% (3)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Costa has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Costa shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Backlund shoots left. Costa is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Backlund
Costa
Home
49.3% (217)
40.5% (79)
Away
42.3% (279)
33.7% (98)
By Period
Backlund
Costa
P1
44.0%
38.6%
P2
49.4%
39.2%
P3
42.8%
33.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.4%
Costa
44.0%▬
43.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |